Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $248,379$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.73 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{305,505.1}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 94.7)}}\) (asimptote \(305,505.1\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12,084$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.85 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(48.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,123.2}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 67.3)}}\) (asimptote \(11,123.2\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $26,832$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $52,007$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.39 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{52,011.3}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 97.5)}}\) (asimptote \(52,011.3\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $379$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(35.1 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{375.6}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 55.6)}}\) (asimptote \(375.6\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,520$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $67,442$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(88.4 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{122,042.7}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 121.2)}}\) (asimptote \(122,042.7\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,779$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.43 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,618.2}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 122.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,618.2\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $26,784$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $208,938$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(5.1 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{187,777.2}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 38.7)}}\) (asimptote \(187,777.2\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,282$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.45 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,916.6}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 35.8)}}\) (asimptote \(4,916.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,145$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $220,144$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(6.77 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{303,439.5}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 100.4)}}\) (asimptote \(303,439.5\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,059$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(50.8 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,672.0}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 107.7)}}\) (asimptote \(4,672.0\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $60,035$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $30,931$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(552 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{43,322.6}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 117.3)}}\) (asimptote \(43,322.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $98$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(0.912 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{219.7}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 115.6)}}\) (asimptote \(219.7\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,760$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $101,553$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(4.09 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{107,032.2}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 90.4)}}\) (asimptote \(107,032.2\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $138$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(3.99 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{178.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 84.7)}}\) (asimptote \(178.1\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,308$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $50,207$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(278 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{75,919.8}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 120.8)}}\) (asimptote \(75,919.8\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $233$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(4.37 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{411.0}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 96.4)}}\) (asimptote \(411.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $17,969$ on 2020-07-08